Hello,

This week, India’s high frequency trading firms reported a surge in profits despite tighter regulatory scrutiny. Market analysts have said that even modest volatility, combined with expanding derivatives participation will keep spreads attractive for algorithmic players, suggesting that curbs have not meaningfully dented activity.

Meanwhile, the RBI added seven more unauthorised forex trading platforms to its alert list, a reminder that retail speculation remains a growing supervisory concern. At the same time, the central bank’s latest bulletin flagged signs of ‘heightened exuberance‘ in global financial markets, and the frothy valuations, rapid portfolio flows and over-leverage that come with it, which could spill over into emerging markets if conditions turn.

However, early estimates of the economy’s growth remained buoyant, extending the country’s run as the fastest-growing major economy. Strong construction activity, resilient services and improving manufacturing output helping to offset headwinds.

And finally, a sharp fall in India’s headline inflation has reopened the eternal debate on monetary easing, and whether it works. 

I hope you enjoy this week’s roundup – please connect on LinkedIn to discuss how Ideals VDR can help with your next M&A deal.

Let’s dive in.

Deal Tracker

Our weekly roundup of confirmed M&A deals in India.

TransactionSectorsBuyerBuyer’s advisorsSeller’s advisors
01

Dhan parent Raise Financial acquires algo trading platform Stratzy in cash-and-stock deal

Financial services

Not disclosed

Not disclosed

02

Early Paytm backer Elevation Capital part sells stake in fintech worth Rs 1,556 crore

Industrial/Manufacturing

Not disclosed

Not disclosed

03

Blackstone wraps up $225m India control deal

04

Debevoise advises Manulife on India life insurance JV

05

AdaniConneX acquires 100% stake in Trade Castle Tech Park

06

Authum Investment & Infrastructure completes acquisition of BIC Cello

07

CPPIB joint venture in India acquires six logistics parks worth $475-million

08

IT services firm Xoriant acquires TestDevLab to deepen European footprint

Market Trends

Expect a bigger deal-toolbox but also more rules in 2026

As we near the start of 2026, dealmakers will see new tools and challenges taking shape in Indian M&A. 

So rather than just sheer volume of activity, let’s consider what new horizons are emerging and how they might reshape the next wave of transactions.

Financing is being rewritten

To begin with, the sharp rise in private credit continues to dominate deal financing. Multiple reports from Business Standard and EY’s H1 private credit update note that funds are writing larger cheques, with domestic players underwriting chunkier deals. 

Further expansion of the shadow banking sector seems likely as financial papers picked up on rumours of RBI looking into further liberalising External Commercial Borrowings (ECBs). Approval routes will be simplified, which would give sponsors additional room to structure offshore-onshore deals.

Discipline in distress

Layered onto this is a shift in the bankruptcy ecosystem, already considered somewhat of a success in the economy. IBBI’s proposed uniform valuation formats suggest a clear push to tighten the screws around fairness of value calculations. 

If implemented properly, the move could reduce last-minute disputes, speed up auctions and create tighter pricing discipline, addressing longstanding complaints about inconsistency in distress valuations.

Labour reform may add to post-deal risks

A brand new labour code adds another moving part, that most likely will impact cost structures, particularly regarding retrenchment, social security provisioning and fixed term employment. For M&A practitioners, this translates into slightly longer diligence and more complex integration planning.  

As a result, HR liabilities will need deeper modelling; indemnities may need to stretch further; and capital budgets for post-deal integration may rise. For cross-border buyers, especially, this could be the first time labour compliance moves from a footnote to a headline risk in India.

Taken together, these developments point to the early contours of a new era: where the toolbox is widening, but so is the rulebook.

The rumour mill

Hello,

Last week’s minor drama over the collapse of the Telegraph’s sale to RedBird might already have reached a resolution. Daily Mail owner DMGT has quickly struck a £500m deal to buy the rival newspaper, with the UK government promising to help push through the sale ‘without further delay.’

And in other news:

  • Revolut is now worth $75bn after secondary share sale
  • An ex-Jefferies banker has been charged with insider trading
  • Unilever is considering selling its Marmite and Bovril brands

Thanks for reading, and connect with me on LinkedIn if you want to discuss how I can help with your next M&A deal.

Deal Tracker

Our weekly roundup of all the confirmed M&A deals in the UK.

TransactionSectorsBuyerBuyer’s advisorsSeller’s advisors
01

Vital Energi acquired Port Clarence biomass facility in Teesside

Energy

Vital Energi

Not disclosed

Not disclosed

02

AMPYR Distributed Energy acquired Shawton Energy

Energy

AMPYR Distributed Energy

Not disclosed

Not disclosed

03

S&P Global acquired With Intelligence at $1.8bn

Financial services

S&P Global

Citi

Centerview Partners

04

GHO Capital acquired Scientist.com

Healthcare/pharma

GHO Capital

Not disclosed

Union Square Advisors

05

RSK Group acquired Octavius Infrastructure from Sullivan Street Partners

Industrial

RSK Group

KPMG

DC Advisory

06

Flowing River Capital acquired Marshall Land Systems

Industrial

Flowing River Capital

Not disclosed

Not disclosed

07

Minority Broker Partnerships acquired stake in Sturdy Edwards

Insurance

Minority Broker Partnerships

Not disclosed

Not disclosed

08

Key Capital Partners exited Darts Corner

Retail

Key Capital Partners

Not disclosed

Not disclosed

09

Bridgepoint acquired majority stake in ht.digital

TMT

Bridgepoint

Not disclosed

Not disclosed

10

FE fundinfo acquired Finscape from Equisoft

TMT

FE fundinfo

Not disclosed

Not disclosed

11

IDHL acquired ecommerce consultancy Vervaunt

TMT

IDHL

Not disclosed

Not disclosed

The rumour mill

Industry news

Salaries and bonuses

Job moves

Market trends

European M&A multiples recover

European dealmakers shook off their tariff jitters in Q3, driving EBITDA multiples from a second-quarter low of 7.9x back to a healthy 11.9x, comfortably in line with the five-year average of 11.6x, according to Dealogic.

High-multiple tech deals have driven valuations higher, including KKR’s £4.2bn take-private of London-listed Spectris at 20x 2024 EBITDA. 

Meanwhile, European deal volume reached €134bn in October, the highest monthly tally since December 2021. Year-to-date volume through October totaled €737bn, up 21% vs 2024. With valuations expanding and deal flow accelerating, European M&A is positioned for a strong finish to the year.

UK leads business expectations despite subdued optimism 

UK business confidence registered a modest improvement in October 2025, reaching a net balance of +33%, marginally up from +32% in June.

While this marks a recovery from the sharp decline observed in February 2025 (+24%), sentiment remains below the long-term average of +43%. 

That said, UK businesses continue to outpace their European counterparts, with Euro area confidence falling to a 12-month low of +17%, while global sentiment holds steady at +24%. Services firms posted a net balance of +32%, slightly trailing manufacturing at +38%, though construction sector optimism weakened notably to its lowest level in three years at +17%.

Challenges and opportunities

Looking at opportunity areas, UK firms identify new business acquisition (14%) and export growth (14%) as primary bright spots, followed by market expansion (12%) and product development (8%). 

AI and digital transformation rank as the fifth-largest opportunity at 7%, alongside efficiency improvements and exploiting competitor weaknesses as rivals exit due to margin pressures.

Business challenges center on government policy uncertainty, macroeconomic instability, and rising operational costs. Anticipated tax increases, employment law changes, and concerns around the Autumn Budget have created hesitancy, particularly affecting capital expenditure decisions. 

Revival in convertible bond market 

And finally, analysis in Dealogic shows that Ferrovial’s $465m convertible bond issuance in November provided a much-needed boost to EMEA’s CB market, with the deal multiple times covered across roughly 80 investor lines. EMEA CB issuance stands at $11bn YtD in 2025, nearly double last year’s $5.7bn, driven by large deals from Vonovia (€1.3bn) and Legrand (€0.8bn). 

With over €4bn of EMEA CBs maturing in 2026, bankers expect a visible refinancing pipeline to build momentum into next year. 

 

IPOs

Guten Tag,

der Deal der Woche ist die Übernahme von Covestro durch ADNOC für rund 14,7 Milliarden Euro. Die Transaktion sichert ADNOC den Zugang zu zentraler Kunststoff- und Chemiekompetenz und zählt zu den bedeutendsten Übernahmen eines deutschen Konzerns durch einen ausländischen Investor.

Laut GfK-Daten verschlechtert sich das Konsumklima weiter. Die Verbraucherstimmung bleibt im negativen Bereich, der Euroraum erholt sich nur zaghaft. Trotz leicht sinkender Inflation bleibt das Vertrauen der Haushalte geschwächt, was auf eine zähe Normalisierung der Binnenkonjunktur hindeutet.

Außerdem gab es noch andere wichtige Entwicklungen:

  1. Wolters Kluwer stärkt sein Technologieportfolio und übernimmt den KI-Research-Anbieter Libra Technology für bis zu 90 Mio. €, um juristische Analyseprozesse umfassend zu automatisieren.
  2. Akzo Nobel übernimmt Axalta Coating Systems; durch die Fusion entsteht ein Lack- und Beschichtungsriese mit einem kombinierten Unternehmenswert von rund 25 Mrd. US-Dollar.
  3. TKMS bestätigt Gespräche über eine mögliche Übernahme der Kieler Werft German Naval Yards, die zur französischen CMN Naval gehört. Eine Entscheidung steht noch aus, betroffen wären rund 400 Beschäftigte am Standort.

Wenn Sie Interesse an einer Zusammenarbeit bei Ihrem nächsten M&A-Deal haben, freue ich mich über eine Kontaktaufnahme über LinkedIn.

Vielen Dank fürs Lesen.



Deal tracker

TransaktionBrancheKäuferKäuferberaterVerkäuferberater
01

Akzo Nobel übernimmt Axalta Coating Systems in einer Fusion mit einem kombinierten Unternehmenswert von rund 25 Mrd. US-Dollar.

Industrial

Akzo Nobel

n.a.

n.a.

02

Abbott Laboratories übernimmt Exact Sciences für rund 23 Mrd. US-Dollar (inklusive Schulden) durch Barzahlung von 105 US-Dollar pro Aktie.

Healthcare/pharma

Abbott Laboratories

n.a.

n.a.

03

Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) übernimmt Covestro AG für rund €14,7 Mrd (ca. US $16,9 Mrd) nach finaler deutscher Genehmigung. The Chemical Engineer+3

Manufacturing

Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC)

Morgan Stanley; Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer

Goldman Sachs & Perella Weinberg; Linklaters; Rothschild & Co & Macquarie Capital; SZA Schilling Zutt & Anschütz

04

Bosch verkauft sein 3D-Druck-Startup Bosch Advanced Ceramics an den japanischen Industriekonzern Sintokogio.

Industrial

Sintokogio Co., Ltd.

n.a.

n.a.

05

Brenntag SE acquires Chem Tech Services, Inc. to expand its energy and oil-&-gas chemicals platform.

Industrial

Brenntag SE

n.a.

n.a.

06

Müller-Gruppe übernimmt die Joghurtmarken Lünebest und Elinas samt Werk in Lüneburg von Hochwald Foods.

Consumer

Müller-Gruppe

n.a.

n.a.

07

Tegernseer Brauhaus übernimmt die Weißbierbrauerei Hopf von der Paulaner-Gruppe.

Consumer

Tegernseer Brauhaus

n.a.

n.a.

08

Wolters Kluwer übernimmt den KI-Research-Anbieter Libra Technology für bis zu 90 Mio. €.

TMT

Wolters Kluwer

n.a.

n.a.

09

Hausheld bündelt Solandeo, GreenPocket und Mako365 zu einer integrierten Smart-Meter-Gruppe unter dem Dach der DBAG.

Energy

Hausheld GmbH

n.a.

n.a.


Deal der Woche

ADNOC vollendet Covestro Deal und steigt in die Topliga der europäischen Chemie ein

Nach langwierigen Verhandlungen hat der staatliche Konzern ADNOC alle erforderlichen Genehmigungen erhalten und die Übernahme der Covestro AG im Gesamtwert von rund € 14,7 Mrd. abgeschlossen. Damit geht eines der bedeutendsten deutschen Chemieunternehmen an einen ausländischen Staatsinvestor, was einen historischen Schritt für den Standort Deutschland darstellt.Die Bundesregierung sowie die EU-Kommission hatten dem Geschäft zuvor zugestimmt. Künftig soll Covestro innerhalb der ADNOC-Struktur stärker auf Kreislaufwirtschaft, erneuerbare Energien und digitale Technologien wie KI und Quantencomputing setzen. Das Investmentvehikel XRG positioniert sich als langfristiger industrieller Partner. Damit sendet ADNOC ein klares Signal für strategische Investitionen in Europa und stärkt seine Präsenz außerhalb des Ölgeschäfts. Für den deutschen Chemiesektor markiert die Transaktion einen Wendepunkt und könnte in einem herausfordernden Marktumfeld Impulse setzen.


Steigender Importdruck aus China und mögliche Umlenkungseffekte

Der vom Auswärtigen Amt geförderte IW-Report zu möglichen Umlenkungseffekten chinesischer Exporte zeigt, wie stark sich die globalen Handelsströme durch die prohibitiven US-Zölle im ersten Halbjahr 2025 verschoben haben. Ziel der Analyse ist es, ungewöhnliche Importanstiege in Deutschland zu identifizieren und mit Rückgängen der US-Importe aus China abzugleichen. Das Ergebnis deutet auf eine systemische Veränderung im Außenhandel hin, die weit über einzelne Warengruppen hinausgeht.

Im Fokus steht das zweite Quartal 2025, in dem Deutschland massiv steigende Einfuhrmengen aus China verzeichnet – häufig trotz fallender Preise. Laut dem Report überschreiten bei über 2.200 Warengruppen die Mengenzuwächse die Marke von zehn Prozent. Dies deckt 61 Prozent des gesamten China-Importwerts ab. Die folgende Grafik aus der IW-Studie veranschaulicht diesen Trend, indem sie die deutschen Importe aus China im Jahr 2025 deutlich dynamischer darstellt als die weltweiten Einfuhren.

Besonders kritisch bewertet der Report den weit verbreiteten Umlenkungsverdacht: Über 1.500 Warengruppen erfüllen zugleich das Kriterium rückläufiger US-Importe und deutlicher deutscher Mengenzuwächse. Auch in den Kernindustrien Deutschlands – Chemie, Elektronik, Maschinenbau, Fahrzeuge – zeigen 910 Warengruppen solche Überschneidungen und stehen für 39 Prozent des China-Importwerts. Das unterstreicht die Gefahr einer zunehmenden Wettbewerbsverzerrung und die Notwendigkeit eines systematischen Monitorings sowie gezielter Handelsschutzinstrumente.


M&A-Rollen werden teurer und rücken stärker in den Fokus der Unternehmen

Die aktuellen Marktdynamiken erhöhen den Druck auf Finanzabteilungen, strategisch zu handeln, was sich besonders deutlich in den M&A-Gehältern zeigt. Der FINANCE-Gehaltsreport 2025 macht deutlich, dass Unternehmen trotz Kostendisziplin gezielt in Funktionen investieren, die Wachstum, Dealflow und Transformationsprojekte vorantreiben. M&A-Manager gehören dabei zu den Rollen, die von dieser strategischen Wichtigkeit am stärksten profitieren.

Die Gehaltsgrafik im Report zeigt eine außergewöhnlich breite Spreizung, die den Wert dieser Profile im Markt widerspiegelt. Junior-M&A-Manager liegen mit 62.800 bis 81.800 € bereits im oberen Einstiegssegment, während Senior-M&A-Manager im Schnitt über 140.000 € erreichen und in Spitzenfällen sogar 200.000 € überschreiten. Diese Entwicklung bestätigt, dass Transaktionskompetenz in Krisen- und Umbruchsphasen besonders gefragt ist.

Für Unternehmen bedeutet das wachsende Konkurrenz um erfahrene M&A-Talente. Der Report betont, dass nicht nur Deal-Expertise, sondern auch Risikoabwägung, Szenarioplanung und cross-funktionales Arbeiten stärker honoriert werden. Damit etabliert sich M&A im Jahr 2025 klar als Premium-Profil im Corporate-Finance-Umfeld.


Unternehmen setzen auf Risk und Compliance und verstärken die Suche nach Spezialisten

Parallel zu den steigenden Gehaltsniveaus verändern sich auch die Nachfrageprofile im Finanzbereich deutlich. Der FINANCE-Gehaltsreport 2025 zeigt, dass Unternehmen angesichts geopolitischer Spannungen, regulatorischer Vorgaben und konjunktureller Unsicherheiten verstärkt nach Funktionen suchen, die Resilienz, Kontrolle und Risikotransparenz sichern. Diese strukturelle Verschiebung prägt die Prioritäten in den Finanzabteilungen nachhaltig.

Der Hays-Fachkräfte-Index aus dem Report unterstreicht diesen Trend eindeutig. Während Buchhalter, Steuerexperten und Wirtschaftsprüfer relativ stabile Nachfragekurven aufweisen, heben sich Compliance- und Risikomanager mit deutlich höheren Indexwerten ab – teilweise über 300 Punkten. Die Grafik unten zeigt, dass gerade diese Rollen über den Zeitraum 2022-2025 konstant über dem Durchschnittsniveau liegen und nur leichte Ausschläge nach unten verzeichnen.

Für den Markt bedeutet das eine anhaltend hohe Nachfrage nach spezialisierten Finanzprofilen. Unternehmen suchen Fachkräfte, die Risiken quantifizieren, Szenarien simulieren und regulatorische Anforderungen operationalisieren können – Fähigkeiten, die sich direkt im Gehaltsniveau widerspiegeln. Damit zählen Risk & Compliance 2025 zu den stabilsten und zukunftssichersten Karrierepfaden im Finance-Sektor.


Abschwung im Konsumklima trifft auf zähe Erholung der Eurozone

Die Stimmung der Verbraucher in Deutschland bleibt tief im negativen Bereich und verschlechtert sich weiter. Laut der aktuellen GfK-Befragung sinkt der Konsumklimaindex im November 2025 auf −24,1 Punkte. Bereits im Oktober lag er bei −22,5 Punkten. Seit Monaten zeigt sich kaum eine Besserung. 

Belastet wird die Stimmung vor allem durch rückläufige Einkommenserwartungen, während Anschaffungsneigung und Konjunkturerwartung nur leicht anziehen.

Der GfK-Konsumklima-Index, der aus Einkommenserwartung, Anschaffungsneigung und Sparneigung berechnet wird, dient als vorlaufender Indikator für das Konsumverhalten im Folgemonat. Die nahezu unveränderte Sparneigung zeigt, dass Haushalte angesichts anhaltender Unsicherheit vorsichtig bleiben. Die Grafik von Statista, die auf der GfK/NIM-Studie basiert, zeigt, wie stabil und niedrig die Verbraucherstimmung seit über einem Jahr verläuft.

Auch im Euroraum ist keine Trendwende erkennbar: Das Konsumklima verharrt laut EU-Kommission im November bei –14,2 Punkten und bleibt damit deutlich unter seinem langfristigen Durchschnitt. Zwar sinkt die Inflation im Oktober auf 2,1 Prozent, doch die Entspannung schlägt sich bislang kaum in der Verbraucherstimmung nieder. Ökonomen rechnen daher mit einer anhaltenden Zinspause der EZB, während die Binnenkonjunktur weiter schwach bleibt.


M&A-Nachrichten

Personalien

Kapitalrunden

O M&A global entrou em 2025 tropeçando, mas não caiu. Depois de um Q2 que parecia prenúncio de retração, o Q3 virou o jogo com megadeals bilionários e uma retomada que ninguém apostava no começo do ano. O contraste é quase cômico: volatilidade para todo lado, petróleo instável, juros altos — e ainda assim, dealmakers não tiraram o pé.

No Brasil, o roteiro não é tão diferente. A bolsa em máximas históricas e a expectativa de queda dos juros reacenderam o mercado de capitais, mas quem realmente ditou o ritmo foi o setor de energia. Em meio à sobreoferta renovável, projetos pressionados e transmissões saturadas, três movimentos chamaram atenção:

  • A Brasol acelerando aquisições enquanto desenvolvedores lutam para respirar;
  • A Engie pisando no freio das renováveis e mirando hidrelétricas — ativo raro e disputado;
  • E a TotalEnergies fechando um acordo bilionário na Europa para reforçar geração flexível, exatamente o insumo que o Brasil começa a carecer.

O contraste é o mesmo que vimos em outros mercados: estresse de um lado, consolidação agressiva do outro. Nesta edição, mostramos como esses deals revelam o novo ciclo do setor — e por que energia voltou a ser o denominador comum do M&A em 2025.

Quer mais insights do backstage do M&A brasileiro? Se conecte comigo no LinkedIn e vamos conversar. 

Boa leitura.



Deals breakdown

Curadoria entre 11 e 24 de novembro.

Deals identificados: 29

DealIndustrySeller/CounterpartyBuyer/Investor
01

Stella d’Oro (Grupo Predilecta) compra ativos da Bonduelle em Cristalina (GO).

Agribusiness

Bonduelle (ativos GO)

Stella d’Oro / Grupo Predilecta

02

Quartzo investe na Solan (SaaS para usinas solares).

Energy

Solan

Quartzo

03

TotalEnergies e EPH formam JV para energia flexível.

Energy

N/D

TotalEnergies + EPH (JV)

04

Celcoin adquire a Vulkan Labs (infra de crédito com IA).

FIG/Startups

Vulkan Labs

Celcoin

05

Rede D’Or vende a Maternidade Star (SP) à Atlântica D’Or.

Healthcare/Pharma

Rede D’Or

Atlântica D’Or (JV fam. Moll + Bradesco Seg.)

06

Oncoclínicas vende o Hospital Vila da Serra (BH) ao Felício Rocho.

Healthcare/Pharma

Oncoclínicas

Hospital Felício Rocho

07

Hypera exerce opção e assume controle total da Simple Organic.

Healthcare/Pharma

N/D

Hypera

08

Venda da Sweetmix a multinacional; valor em USD.

Industry

Sweetmix

N/D

09

Cenibra adquire 49,9% da Bionow (valor não divulgado).

Industry

Bionow

Cenibra

10

Sequoia aprova incorporação da Fulcrum; fundo atinge 47% pós‑deal.

Industry

Fulcrum

Sequoia

11

Veolia conclui aquisição da EcoVital (resíduos perigosos).

Infrastructure

N/D

Veolia

12

Grupo EBM e Trusted Data anunciam fusão (infra de data centers, 500+ MW).

Infrastructure

Grupo EBM; Trusted Data

N/D

13

Controlador do Banco Master vende fatia na Itaminar.

Infrastructure

Controlador do Banco Master

N/D

14

Prio conclui aquisição de 40% e da operação dos campos Peregrino e Pitangola.

Infrastructure

N/D

Prio

15

Telefônica Brasil conclui compra de 75% da Fibrasil.

Infrastructure

N/D

Telefônica Brasil (Vivo)

16

Localiza Fleet vende 64,6% na Voll.

Infrastructure

Localiza Fleet

N/D

17

Grupo Fuganti compra a Rodomac (concessionária de máquinas agrícolas).

Infrastructure

Rodomac (sócios)

Grupo Fuganti

18

TIP Brasil compra 100% da TÁ Telecom (IoT/MVNO).

Infrastructure

TÁ Telecom

TIP Brasil

19

Perfin vende fatia na Corsan ao Bradesco.

Infrastructure

Perfin

Bradesco

20

State Grid compra a transmissora Mantiqueira da Quantum (Brookfield).

Infrastructure

Quantum (Brookfield)

State Grid (controladora da CPFL)

21

Grupo Graiche incorpora a Taquari (gestão condominial).

Real Estate

Taquari (sócios)

Grupo Graiche

22

FII HGBS11 assina MoU para comprar 20% do ParkShopping São Caetano.

Real Estate

N/D

HGBS11

23

Grant Thornton Brasil vende controle da consultoria à rede global de firmas.

Services

Grant Thornton Brasil

Rede global de firmas (GT Network)

24

LiveMode assume 100% da CazéTV; Casimiro vira sócio da holding global.

Services

N/D

LiveMode

25

Empresa do pai de Neymar compra a marca Pelé.

Sports

N/D

NR Sports

26

SG/CADE aprova venda da Ericsson Inovação para a Open Labs (sem restrições).

TMT

Ericsson

Open Labs

27

iFood adquire a Advolve (valor não divulgado).

TMT

Advolve

iFood

28

Semantix compra empresa do Grupo Boticário (valor não divulgado).

TMT

Grupo Boticário (empresa ND)

Semantix

29

Gennera e QI Solution se fundem (edtech).

TMT

Gennera; QI Solution

N/D

30

Vela Latam adquire a Gaudium (mobilidade/delivery, plataforma Machine).

TMT

Gaudium

Vela Latam

31

WakeCap compra a Trackfy (BA); executivos BR mantêm participação.

TMT

Trackfy

WakeCap


M&A em Energia: volatilidade alta, mas o dealflow não tirou o pé

Depois de um trimestre morno, o M&A global voltou a acelerar com força. No Q3, o volume transacionado saltou 25,6% e o número de deals cresceu 3,8% — o trimestre mais intenso desde o fim de 2021. Mesmo com inflação teimosa, ruído geopolítico e economia andando de lado, os dealmakers ignoraram o caos e foram às compras. Já são mais de 37 mil transações em 2025, somando USD 3,4 tri. O ano deve bater o recorde histórico em número de operações, ainda que o valor fique logo abaixo do frenesi de 2021. Em outras palavras: o apetite voltou, mas de forma mais seletiva e estratégica.

No Brasil, o jogo também ganhou tração. O TTR Data contabilizou 1.475 transações até outubro, movimentando BRL 218,4 bi — alta de 5% em volume e 2% em capital mobilizado versus 2024. Tech segue dominante, mas Real Estate corre por fora, e o apetite estrangeiro continua firme: EUA e Reino Unido lideram as aquisições no país. Outubro fechou com 125 operações e BRL 8,9 bi, coroado pela conclusão da compra da Basf Coatings pela Sherwin-Williams, um deal bilionário que reforça a volta dos movimentos corporativos de maior porte.

Se 2024 foi uma ladeira suave para o M&A de energia, 2025 virou montanha-russa: Q1 e Q3 vieram fortes, Q2 tropeçou com incerteza macro e o petróleo no menor patamar desde 2021. Mesmo assim, o setor mostrou resiliência — compradores com balanços robustos aproveitaram a janela de preços deprimidos para consolidar posições, reacendendo movimentos estratégicos que estavam adormecidos.

O resultado? O ano já caminha para fechar com alta tanto em número de operações quanto em valor. Só no terceiro trimestre, foram cerca de 375 deals somando USD 90,2 bi, levando o acumulado de 2025 para mais de 1.090 transações e USD 238 bi. A volta dos megadeals também ajudou a destravar o ritmo: Baker Hughes puxou a fila com a compra de USD 13,6 bi da Chart Industries, enquanto o consórcio liderado pela KKR aumentou sua fatia na Sempra Infrastructure em uma operação bilionária. 

Em resumo: volatilidade tem de sobra, mas movimento também. E é exatamente nesse cenário que os deals mais interessantes da quinzena começam a aparecer.


IPOs e M&A de Energia no Brasil: o jogo começa a destravar

Com o Ibovespa renovando máximas e a curva de juros finalmente cedendo, o mercado de capitais brasileiro começa a ganhar tração. O movimento ainda é moderado, mas suficiente para destravar follow-ons depois de anos de marasmo.

IPOs, por outro lado, seguem em hibernação: não vemos uma abertura de capital desde 2021. E, com o calendário eleitoral à vista, a janela mais promissora só deve aparecer de forma estrutural em 2027.

Follow-ons: Capital para Desalavancar e Preparar o Terreno

Neste ambiente, são as ofertas subsequentes que lideram o fluxo. Cosan abriu caminho com duas captações que somaram BRL 10,5 bi — prova de que, quando o setor precisa de caixa para reduzir dívida ou financiar expansão, o mercado responde.

Para energia e infraestrutura, isso se torna ainda mais relevante. Com leilões previstos para 2026, muitas companhias devem reforçar balanço agora, misturando dívida, equity e reciclagem de portfólio para entrar no próximo ciclo mais leves e competitivas.

O Paralelo com M&A de Energia: Consolidação Acelera

Enquanto o mercado local revisita o equity como fonte de capital, o M&A de energia no Brasil segue firme. A lógica é similar ao movimento global: empresas buscam simplificar estrutura, reduzir risco e ganhar fôlego para investir pesado em renováveis, transmissão e ativos estratégicos.

A mensagem é clara: quem chega capitalizado compra melhor. E quem chega desalavancado vira alvo menos vulnerável — ou um consolidado mais agressivo.

IPOs: Uma Janela que Ainda Vai Demorar

Para aberturas de capital, a exigência é outra: visibilidade macro de longo prazo, algo improvável antes das eleições. Por isso, o consenso do mercado é que IPOs relevantes devem surgir mais para 2027 que para 2026.

Até lá, energia deve seguir o mesmo playbook: follow-ons táticos no curto prazo, consolidação via M&A no médio e preparação silenciosa para aproveitar a próxima grande janela de mercado.


M&A em Energia com dealflow acelerando: quando a volatilidade abre espaço para consolidação

Brasol: compradora agressiva em um setor pressionado

A Brasol mira até R$ 20 bilhões em ativos solares e já fez ofertas por 25% desse volume, exatamente no momento em que a alta de juros estrangula os desenvolvedores e abre espaço para consolidação. É o mesmo padrão que vimos no mercado global: capital bem posicionado se movimenta quando a alavancagem sufoca os concorrentes.

O paralelo com o Brasil é direto: a renovável pura vive um “apagão de margens”, mas geração distribuída e ativos com previsibilidade continuam disputados. A estratégia da Brasol — comprar distressed, reestruturar dívidas e capturar ativos bem localizados — espelha os movimentos de consolidação vistos nos EUA e Europa no Q3.

Engie: segura renováveis, mira hídrica — e manda um recado ao mercado

A decisão da Engie de adiar investimentos em eólicas e solares não é isolamento; é sintoma do setor. O excesso de geração e o curtailment corroeram retornos, e isso vale tanto aqui quanto lá fora. O que chama atenção é onde a Engie quer crescer: hidrelétricas. Ativo escasso, regulado, resiliente — e cada vez mais valorizado em ciclos de excesso de renováveis.

Para o mercado de M&A brasileiro, esse movimento reforça uma tendência: ativos “firmes” viraram prêmio. E, com poucos vendedores, quem tem hidro no portfólio se valoriza naturalmente. É a economia da escassez funcionando em tempo real.

TotalEnergies: a consolidação global no caminho inverso do Brasil

Na Europa, a TotalEnergies parte para um movimento bilionário, adquirindo 50% da plataforma flexível da EPH — gás, biomassa, baterias. É o oposto exato do Brasil hoje: enquanto aqui sofremos com excesso de renováveis e falta de base firme, lá o problema é a intermitência sem apoio suficiente.

O paralelo é interessante: países maduros correm para comprar flexibilidade; o Brasil, para manter eficiência da expansão renovável. Mas, em ambos, o M&A surge como solução — consolida portfólios, equilibra risco e antecipa o próximo ciclo.

O fio da semana: valuation deprimido, capital forte e a janela perfeita

Brasol, Engie e TotalEnergies mostram o mesmo padrão com sotaques diferentes:quando o ciclo aperta, o M&A vira ferramenta estratégica — seja para comprar barato, proteger retorno ou reequilibrar portfólio.

No Brasil, a janela está aberta: excesso de renováveis, dívidas pressionando pequenos players e um ciclo futuro de demanda (data centers, VE, storage) que vai separar sobreviventes de consolidadoras. Quem se mexe agora, lidera depois.


Infraestrutura

Intenções e Estratégias

Fundraising

M&A

TMT

Intenções e Estratégias

M&A

Fundraising

Novembre è arrivato agli sgoccioli e con esso il 2025, ma le operazioni internazionali continuano ad imperversare, segnate da Investindustrial, che si espande con un deal da quasi $3 miliardi verso l’alimentare US. Permira inizia le trattative per una exit da Golden Goose, verso l’oriente, mentre Arcaplanet fa acquisizioni industriali seguendo una strategia di Buy&Build.

Ecco i dettagli sulle informazioni più rilevanti:

  • Investindustrial lancia una full acquisition da $2,9 miliardi su TreeHouse Foods (alimentare USA), con l’obiettivo di effettuare il delisting dal NYSE. L’operazione segna il grande appetite dei fondi europei per i target alimentari statunitensi, sfruttando le opportunità del take private.
  • HongShan Capital (ex Sequoia China) è in trattative con Permira per l’acquisizione di Golden Goose in un mega-deal stimato a €2,5 miliardi. La potenziale exit di Permira nel Luxury/Sneaker evidenzia valutazioni premium per i brand italiani a forte crescita globale.
  • Prosegue la consolidation nel pet retail: Arcaplanet (controllata da Fressnapf) finalizza tre deal strategici, rilevando Hobby Zoo, Green Pet e Miele. L’operazione conferma una solida strategia di buy & build e l’attrattività del segmento consumer.

Troverete questo e molto altro in questa edizione di M&A Teaser Italia.



Deal Tracker

Teaser titleIndustryBuyerBuyer’s AdvisorsSeller’s Advisors
01

Groupe Premium (Eurazeo) rileva la maggioranza del broker Grifo Group.

Bancario/Assicurativo

Groupe Premium

Proskauer Rose LLP

Russo De Rosa Associati

02

Exit di Prosit Group da Cantine di Torrevento, la Liantonio rileva il 51%.

Consumo

Torrevento

03

Star First Partners completa l’acquisizione di Olistika (Pet Food).

Consumo

Star First Partners

Bird & Bird, KPMG

Deloitte

04

Probios Ventures rileva il 30% di Vegeatal.

Consumo

Probios Ventures

Agreen Capital

05

Luigi Bernardo è salito al 100% del capitale di Alma SpA.

Consumo

Luigi Bernardo

Unicredit

06

FTC (Azimut-illimity) acquisisce Zeplast e il Suolificio Ars Suola.

Consumo

FTC

Ethica Group

Smart Capital

07

Nexture (Investindustrial) acquista da Ardian la portoghese Frulact.

Consumo

Nexture

Nomura

08

Investindustrial compra tutta TreeHouse Foods per 2,9 mld.

Consumo

Industrial FCB Investments III Inc

Lazard

Goldman Sachs

09

Il Gruppo BasicNet (K-Way) rileva Woolrich da L-GAM.

Consumo

BasicNet

EY

Houlihan Lokey

10

Clessidra Private Equity rileva il 70% di Laurieri.

Consumo

Clessidra Private Equity SGR

Banca Ifis, EY

Symul Finance, GU Capital

11

Arcaplanet rileva Hobby Zoo, Green Pet e Miele.

Consumo

Arcaplanet

Grant Thornton, Gitti and Partners

Studio Legale Associato Brandstätter, Studio Legale Associato Gori

12

Plenitude (Eni) rileva da Neoen un portafoglio di 760 MW in Francia.

Energia

Plenitude

Natixis

13

AGN Energia vende al Gruppo Nippon Sanso.

Energia

Nippon Gases Industrial

LCA Studio Legale

14

PSH acquisita da Armonia.

Healthcare

Armònia SGR

EY, KPMG, Studio Legale Gatti Pavesi Bianchi Ludovici

Banca Finint

15

Anjac Health & Beauty Group acquisisce CDMO HCG Health Chain Group.

Healthcare

ANJAC Health & Beauty Group

Ethica Group, InterCapital

16

Tre acquisizioni per Brexia Med Carehub.

Healthcare

CareHub

Silver Economy Fund Internal team, PwC

Lepidi & Associati de L’Aquila, Studio Notarile Restuccia & Stucchi

17

Alcedo V rileva Operamed e perfeziona l’exit di Itago.

Healthcare

Alcedo SGR

Spada Partners

Dawan Corporate Finance, KPMG

18

CIR acquista il 40.23% di KOS da F2i Healthcare.

Healthcare

CIR SpA

19

Vitaura (Lian Group) acquisisce Clinica Mavit in Toscana.

Healthcare

LIAN Group

Gianni & Origoni

mvlegal, ItalianVentures

20

Algebris Climatech investe nella biotech Biocentis.

Healthcare

Algebris Climatech

21

MI-TO Fund (Green Arrow) chiude il deal su asset prime a Torino.

Immobiliare

Mi.To Real Estate

22

Gennaro Gattuso vende il 25% della società proprietaria del Palazzo dei Trovatelli.

Immobiliare

Lario Hotels

23

Kryalos vende un portafoglio logistico e incassa un finanziamento da 100 milioni.

Immobiliare

Hines

24

Borio Mangiarotti completa Livinup – Sei Milano.

Immobiliare

Borio Mangiarotti

Kryalos SGR, CBRE

25

Torre SGR cede Leccio Outlet e Tmall Re.

Immobiliare

Tmall Re

26

Itago IV acquisisce Atlantic Industria Vernici e rafforza Vernici Caldart.

Industriale

Itago IV

Eversheds Sutherland, Spada Partners

Studio Legale Campoccia Avvocati Associati

27

Xenon lancia Cromia con la creazione di un polo della verniciatura.

Industriale

Xenon Private Equity

28

Syclef (Ardian) espande il footprint in Italia con Refsystems.

Industriale

Syclef Holding

Cappelli Riolo Calderaro Crisostomo Del Din & Partners, Newinvest Corporation

Borgna Studio Legale

29

Intergea ha finalizzato una doppia acquisizione.

Industriale

Intergea

30

Wire Group (Olympus Partners) acquisisce Special Corde Srl.

Industriale

International Wire Group

BDO, Legance

Mediolanum Investment Banking

31

RMS SpA acquisisce Manufacturas GES S.A.

Industriale

RMS

Kon Group

Sayma Alerta Asesores

32

Ecomet cede il 100% delle quote a Scrigno.

Industriale

Scrigno

Kon, Studio Legale Carbonetti

33

FP Equity Partners acquisisce Nachmann.

Industriale

F&P Equity Partners

Ethica Group

Scouting Capital & Family Advisors

34

Unox acquisisce Roboqbo.

Industriale

Unox

Adacta Advisory

35

Benzi & Di Terlizzi rileva C.G.M.

Industriale

Benzi & di Terlizzi

Pragma Finance, Amati&Partners

Equity Factory

36

Sauter Italia acquisisce il controllo di M2B2 Holding.

Servizi

Sauter Italia

KPMG, Giovannelli e Associati

Balleggi, Giliberti Triscornia e Associati

37

IA International Advisors acquisisce il 40% di Transatlantic Advisory.

Servizi

IA International Advisors

38

Finsolutia (Pollen Street Capital) acquisisce la piattaforma Hipoges.

TMT

Pollen Street Capital

39

Amundi acquista il 4,6% di ICG per partnership strategica.

Bancario/Assicurativo

Amundi

40

Limolane acquisisce Driven Worldwide e accelera.

Servizi

Limolane

Gianni & Origoni

41

TeamSystem-Hellmann&Friedmann ha venduto Nuovamacut Automazione SpA.

TMT

Bechtle

CMS

Gianni & Origoni

42

Deda Next rileva il 69% di Incloud Team Srl.

TMT

Dedagroup

Scozzi Dottori Commercialisti

Studio Sebastiani


Trasferimenti

Bancario/Assicurativo

Landscape

M&A

Consumo

Landscape

M&A

Energia

Landscape

M&A

Healthcare

M&A

Immobiliare

Landscape

M&A

Industriale

Landscape

M&A

TMT

Landscape

M&A

Fundraising

This week, renewable energy M&A in Europe picked up the pace, with 19 announced deals. As winter sets in, Wind and Solar are gaining traction. BESS is down in November, marking its lowest share of dealmaking since August.

In other developments:

  1. A mega joint venture has emerged in flexible generation. TotalEnergies has acquired 50% of EPH’s 14 GW platform in Western Europe, and integration could have multi‑market impact.
  2. The UK’s largest infrastructure fund has been launched. The £5.3bn merger between HICL and TRIG brings together core infra and renewables portfolios and is notable for its AUM.
  3. The Solar sector is heating up with a sizeable raise, a case that’s getting hard to find in November. HoloSolis raised €220m to accelerate a 5 GW TOPCon gigafactory, backed by 20 GW of LOIs. The deal is a boost to Europe’s photovoltaic reindustrialisation.

Are you an experienced dealmaker or just getting started in the sector? Connect with me on LinkedIn and let’s talk.



Deals breakdown

DealIndustryCountryBuyer/InvestorSeller/Counterparty
01

Solaria launches asset-rotation plan with 42.7 MW PV sales in Spain and Uruguay

Solar

Spain

Solaria

02

JUWI sells 156 MW Clover solar portfolio in Greece to Mirova

Solar

Greece

Mirova

JUWI

03

Northland acquires 300 MW / 1.2 GWh late-stage BESS portfolio from Greenvolt in Poland

Battery storage

Poland

Northland Power

Greenvolt

04

Verbund acquires 140 MW early-stage wind portfolio from Enova in Germany

Wind

Germany

Verbund

Enova

05

Gresham House acquires 100 MW / 200 MWh Elland 2 BESS in West Yorkshire

Battery storage

United Kingdom

Gresham House

06

Windin’ Capital acquires 50% of 67 MW solar + 180 MWh storage project in Sebeș

Solar + BESS

Romania

Windin’ Capital

07

Vital Energi acquires Port Clarence biomass plant following £175m Nordic bond raise

Bio-fuels

United Kingdom

Vital Energi

08

HoloSolis raises €220m to advance 5 GW TOPCon PV gigafactory in Moselle

Solar

France

[Undisclosed]

HoloSolis

09

R.Power sells minority stakes in 56 MWp solar and 51 MW BESS portfolio in Poland to Eiffel

Multiple

Poland

Eiffel

R.Power

10

Hydro sells full Corvus Energy stake for USD 30m, exiting maritime battery sector

Battery storage

Norway

Hydro

11

National Wealth Fund, Great British Energy and SNIB take stakes in Pentland Floating Offshore Wind Farm

Wind

United Kingdom

National Wealth Fund; Great British Energy; SNIB

CIP (project sponsor)

12

Neoen sells 760 MW French solar, wind and storage portfolio to Plenitude

Multiple

France

Plenitude

Neoen

13

Econergy secures option to acquire 435 MW BESS portfolio in Saxony-Anhalt

Battery storage

Germany

Econergy

14

SDCL acquires 68 MW Iberian C&I behind-the-meter solar portfolio from Capwatt

Solar

Iberia

SDCL

Capwatt

15

Tokyo Century enters UK onshore wind with stake in 122.5 MW operational portfolio from Equitix

Wind

United Kingdom

Tokyo Century

Equitix

16

TotalEnergies acquires 50% of EPH’s 14+ GW flexible generation platform in €5.1bn all-stock JV

Multiple

Europe

TotalEnergies

EPH

17

HICL and TRIG agree £5.3bn merger to form UK’s largest listed infrastructure fund

Multiple

United Kingdom

HICL; TRIG

18

Vattenfall sells its UK IDNO electricity distribution business to Eclipse Power Networks

Grid Network

United Kingdom

Eclipse Power Networks (Octopus-backed)

Vattenfall

19

VisionEdgeOne acquires joint-controlling stake in RE2Sources’ 200 GWh biomethane platform

Bio-fuels

Italy

VisionEdgeOne

RE2Sources

20

Zenith Energy acquires 12 MWp Puglia solar project with 3 MW BESS

Solar + BESS

Italy

Zenith Energy

21

Alfa Solar and Astronergy form 50–50 JV for $200m wafer-to-cell plant in Balıkesir

Solar

Türkiye

Alfa Solar; Astronergy


Weekly snapshot | November gathers pace and dealmakers prepare for year‑end

After a quiet start to the month, business has picked up this week. We’ve now recorded 40 renewable energy M&A and JV announcements in Europe (November 1-21). In October, the same window saw 33 deals announced.

This follows the typical pattern we’ve been seeing: announcements bunch around the beginning of the month, followed by calmer weeks.

If that holds, we can expect a softer finish to November in terms of deal flow, something likely to be accentuated as we head into the final month of the year.

Battery‑storage M&A cools in early November; Solar and Wind gain ground

What stands out is less BESS in the headlines. The industry gained global momentum in 2023 and 2024, in step with the energy transition. In 2023 there were BESS 227 M&A transactions worldwide, 5.8% up on 2022.

We’ve seen 2025 hold much of that momentum, but in broad terms the year has cooled for renewables. Although we don’t yet have accumulated 2025 data on deal volume, in terms of deal value reports like PwC’s show a cooling trend in clean energy M&A globally

PwC also observed a mixed investment climate, which caused global M&A deal value in BESS to show a slight decline in Q2 25, compared to Q1 and the same period last year. Taking a closer look at our November curation seems to reflect this trend. October was a good month for battery-storage, but the number of deals announced in November was noticeably lower.

M&As and JVs involving battery storage went from 12 deals between October 1–21 to 6 in the same period of November. The drop is more pronounced when you look at its share of renewable energy M&A in these two month periods: from 27% to 15%.

December is close and, as negotiation tables empty out for the holidays, deal volumes typically taper off. It’s a good moment to look at 2025 in the round and think about the challenges and opportunities Q1 will bring.