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Dealmaking slumps to worst Q2 in a decade

UK 6 min read
Author
Daniel Black

Hello,

It looks like private equity’s annual bun fight over new recruits could be a thing of the past. After JP Morgan said it would fire junior bankers who had lined up a future role through PE’s ‘on-cycle’ recruitment process, Goldman Sachs has started demanding loyalty oaths every three months.

Coincidentally, it comes in the same week that Goldman welcomed back an ex-employee who left to join a hedge fund after only a few years as a junior analyst. However, Rishi Sunak’s advisory role with the firm will be limited so as not to conflict with his recent stint as PM.

And in other news:

  • Athora is nearing a £6bn takeover of pension insurer PIC
  • Octopus Energy plans to demerge tech arm Kraken
  • Q2 dealmaking crashed to its lowest level in a decade

Thanks for reading, and connect with me on LinkedIn if you want to discuss how I can help with your next M&A deal.

Dealmaker spotlight

Nitya Srivastava, an Engagement Manager at EY-Parthenon, was kind enough to share insights from her career this week.

She discussed her path into private equity advisory, the power of networking, and how technology adoption is accelerating value creation.

Read the article to find out more, and get in touch if you’d like to be profiled in our newsletter.

How AI agents are reshaping M&A

Artificial intelligence (AI) agents have huge potential to make deal processes faster and more efficient. But how do you separate the tangible use cases from the marketing hype?

On July 16, we’re hosting a webinar with Ideals and Comparables.AI to look at how dealmakers are using AI to gain a competitive advantage and how these use cases will develop in 2026. 

Deal Tracker

Our weekly roundup of all the confirmed M&A deals in the UK.

TransactionSectorsBuyerBuyer’s advisorsSeller’s advisors
01

Ipsum acquired RJ Power

Energy

Ipsum

Grant Thornton

02

Briarcliffe Credit Partners acquired Branch Advisory

Financial services

Briarcliffe Credit Partners

03

JMG Group acquired Profile Insurance Services

Insurance

JMG Group

04

Ulta Beauty acquired Space NK

Retail

Ulta Beauty

05

Celerity acquired Silverstring

TMT

Celerity

Industry news

The rumour mill

Job moves

Market trends

Dealmaking has worst Q2 in a decade

It feels like the M&A market is experiencing a bit of an identity crisis. Bain’s midyear report shows strategic dealmakers strutting about with 11% YoY growth through May, bouncing back from April’s tariff tantrum. The deal count marched upward from 182 in January to 267 in May, proving that some execs have mastered the art of turning chaos into strategic opportunity. 

But zoom out to the overall picture, and the Financial Times tells us a completely different story. Q2 dealmaking crashed to its lowest level in a decade (excluding the early months of the pandemic) with just 10,900 deals announced. PE shops have gone particularly quiet, with deals plummeting from 2,500 in Q1 to 1,850 in Q2.

The split is telling: Strategic buyers are plowing ahead with transformative moves and snapping up AI assets like Salesforce’s $8bn Informatica pursuit, even as the broader market has hit pause with pent up demand being held back by an uncertain outlook for growth and inflation. 

European GPs happy to store up dry powder

Narrowing down to the European PE scene, it becomes clear that Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs have turned capital deployment into a frustrating waiting game. European GPs are sitting on a mountain of dry powder, €324bn to be exact, but they’re showing little appetite to deploy it. 

PitchBook data shows only €97bn was transacted in Q2, making it the slowest quarter since Q1 2023, with deal count hitting its lowest point since Q3 2020. 

European real estate fundraising builds momentum

However, the European real estate market is having quite the comeback story. After what can only be described as a rather bruising couple of years, the sector has managed to raise €13.1bn in just six months, already eclipsing 2024’s full year tally of €9.5bn. 

While Blackstone’s record €9.8bn vehicle did most of the heavy lifting, the broader trend suggests investors are finally ready to believe that “the real estate recovery is coming into view.”

K3 stacks up low value deals

And finally, according to Mergermarket’s H1 25 global and regional M&A rankings, K3 Capital Group stormed to the no.1 spot for the most active dealmakers in Europe, with 174 deals. However the total value was $15m, proving K3’s reach in the SME market.

Fundraising

IPOs

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